Estimating The Number Of Infections And The Impact Of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions On COVID-19-Imperial College London

Following the emergence of a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and its spread outside of China, Europe is now experiencing large epidemics. In response, many European countries have implemented unprecedented non-pharmaceutical interventions including case isolation, the closure of schools and universities, banning of mass gatherings and/or public events, and most recently, widescale social distancing including local and national lockdowns. In this report, the authors use a semi-mechanistic Bayesian hierarchical model to attempt to infer the impact of these interventions across 11 European countries. Imperial College London, 3/30/2020

•   Print
•   Email
•   Share
•   Tweet